The Nasdaq fell at the open Tuesday as semiconductor stocks slid, with investors awaiting the Federal Reserve's rate decision and Big Tech earnings.
Rate-hike odds stood near one in three ahead of the Fed's decision, according to CME FedWatch data, after an oil shock tripled bets on tighter policy.
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index declined as chip stocks extended recent losses. Consumer discretionary shares posted modest gains but failed to lift the broader market. Trading volumes picked up as investors repositioned ahead of the Fed's two-day meeting and earnings from Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, and Alphabet.
The Fed's decision, due Wednesday, carries outsized significance for growth stocks. A hawkish hold or a rate increase could extend the selloff in high-valuation technology names, while dovish commentary may trigger a relief rally. The Big Tech earnings reports will test whether AI-driven spending can justify current valuations.
The selloff in chipmakers extended a recent downturn that has erased billions from the sector's market value. Semiconductor stocks have come under pressure over concerns about export restrictions and softening demand in certain end markets, though AI-related chip demand remains robust.
The Fed convenes with rate-hike odds elevated after an oil supply shock pushed inflation expectations higher. Chair Jerome Powell's commentary will be scrutinized for signals on the rate path through year-end, with markets split on whether the next move is a cut or a hike.
Big Tech earnings due this week will test whether the sector's valuations can be justified by fundamentals. Investors are focused on cloud revenue growth, AI-related capital expenditure, and forward guidance. Any disappointment could exacerbate the selloff in growth stocks.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.