XRP is consolidating under $3 as market participants anticipate a potential Federal Reserve rate cut and the possibility of spot XRP ETF approvals.

XRP Price Consolidates Under $3

XRP is currently consolidating under $3, trading around $2.90, as it navigates a descending triangle pattern. The cryptocurrency experienced a surge in price and trading volume, briefly testing $2.90-$2.92 before encountering resistance. Market sentiment is uncertain, awaiting a breakout or breakdown from the current pattern.

Anticipation of Federal Reserve Rate Cut

The market anticipates a potential 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate cut on September 17. Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek predicts that such a rate cut could ignite a crypto rally in late 2025, injecting liquidity and reducing borrowing costs. > "Every time the Fed eases, crypto markets feel the impact almost instantly," Marszalek stated. Market data indicates a high probability (99%) of a 25-basis-point rate cut being announced.

Potential Spot XRP ETF Approvals

Speculation surrounds the potential approval of spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Crypto commentator Pumpius suggests that the approval of all spot XRP ETFs by October 2025 could trigger a major XRP rally to $50 by December. There are reportedly six to seven active S-1 filings or amendments before the SEC, including submissions from Bitwise, 21Shares, WisdomTree, CoinShares, Canary Capital, and Franklin Templeton. Independent market desks estimate first-month inflows into spot XRP ETFs could exceed $5 billion.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook

XRP faces immediate resistance at $3.05–$3.10. A decisive move above this band could trigger a bullish push higher, with potential targets at $3.30–$3.40, $5.00–$5.50, and even $7–$8 in an extreme bullish scenario. Conversely, failure to defend the $2.90 support level could lead to a drop toward $2.30–$2.70. Traders are closely monitoring the $2.85–$3.05 range for short-term opportunities. The September 17 Fed decision is considered pivotal for XRP's price action.

Regulatory Landscape

The SEC's decision to drop its appeal against Ripple, reclassifying XRP as a digital commodity in secondary markets, has reduced regulatory uncertainty. This development has attracted institutional interest, with the ProShares Ultra XRP ETF launching in July 2025. Analysts project that ETF approvals could drive $5–$8 billion in institutional inflows by year-end.